7 Reasons the 4% Rule Fails—and the One Solution That Fixes It

Shawn Plummer, CRPC

Retirement Planner, Financial Advisor, Annuity Broker, and Insurance Agent

Why Guaranteed Lifetime Withdrawal Benefits (GLWBs) Beat Old Retirement Rules

Scenario

The 4% Rule says you can withdraw 4% of your retirement savings each year and expect it to last 30 years. But the financial world has changed. Inflation is higher, life expectancies are longer, and market volatility is worse. Sticking to the 4% Rule now could leave you out of money when you need it most.

The solution? A Guaranteed Lifetime Withdrawal Benefit (GLWB) rider on a fixed index annuity. It provides a reliable income stream for life—even if the account runs out of money—and pays more than the 4% Rule.


1. Inflation Is No Longer Predictable

Key stat: Inflation has bounced between 3% and 9% since 2021.

✔ 4% Rule adjusts for inflation
✘ Your real purchasing power may still shrink

Who Needs This: Retirees on fixed incomes or drawing from savings
Who Doesn’t: Those with inflation-adjusted pensions

Fix It With GLWB: GLWBs offer payouts as high as 5–8%, often with inflation adjustments, keeping your income stable over time.

7 Reasons the 4% Rule Fails—and the One Solution That Fixes It

2. Bond Yields Can’t Keep Up

Key stat: Long-term bonds still yield less than what retirees need to sustain 4% withdrawals

✔ Bonds add stability
✘ But today’s yields often fall short of income needs

Who Needs This: Conservative investors relying on income from bonds
Who Doesn’t: Retirees with guaranteed sources of income

Fix It With GLWB: GLWBs provide contractually guaranteed income no matter what interest rates or the market do.

3. People Are Living Much Longer

Key stat: A 65-year-old couple has a 50% chance that one will live to age 93

✔ More years in retirement
✘ Higher risk of outliving savings

Who Needs This: Anyone retiring before age 70
Who Doesn’t: Those with shorter life expectancies or terminal illnesses

Fix It With GLWB: GLWBs guarantee income as long as you live, no matter how long that is—even past age 100.

4. Sequence of Returns Risk Is a Major Threat

Key stat: A downturn in your first five retirement years can cut your income by 50%

✔ Markets recover over time
✘ But early losses devastate portfolios if you’re withdrawing money

Who Needs This: Retirees withdrawing from 401(k)s or IRAs
Who Doesn’t: Those with a fixed monthly income from annuities or pensions

Fix It With GLWB: With a GLWB, income never drops due to market losses, even if your account goes to $0.

5. Healthcare and Long-Term Care Costs Are Exploding

Key stat: Out-of-pocket costs may exceed $315,000 per couple in retirement

✔ Medicare helps
✘ But it doesn’t cover everything—especially long-term care

Who Needs This: Middle-income retirees with no long-term care plan
Who Doesn’t: Veterans or those with rich employer retiree health coverage

Fix It With GLWB: A GLWB ensures your retirement income continues, freeing up other resources to pay for unexpected health needs.

6. Spending in Retirement Isn’t Linear

Key stat: Most retirees spend more in their early and late years, not evenly

✔ 4% Rule is simple
✘ But doesn’t reflect real spending patterns

Who Needs This: Retirees who plan for travel, home upgrades, or caregiving
Who Doesn’t: Those with minimal lifestyle variation

Fix It With GLWB: GLWBs offer flexible payout strategies, and many allow for joint income, so both spouses are protected.

7. Markets Are Too Volatile for Simple Rules

Key stat: The S&P 500 had four 20% swings between 2020 and 2024

✔ Long-term returns are solid
✘ But short-term losses can derail retirement

Who Needs This: Retirees with heavy stock exposure
Who Doesn’t: Retirees relying on guaranteed income

Fix It With GLWB: GLWBs remove market risk from income planning, allowing you to stay invested for growth without jeopardizing your paycheck.

Why The 4% Rule No Longer Works For Retirees

Book A Call

The 4% Rule worked in the 1990s. It doesn’t work now. A fixed index annuity with a Guaranteed Lifetime Withdrawal Benefit (GLWB) offers the highest payout rates available today, protects against market downturns, beats inflation, and guarantees income even if your account runs dry.

Contact The Annuity Expert for a free quote and comparison of GLWB annuities. Get the income you deserve—without the risk.

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Shawn Plummer, CRPC

Retirement Planner, Financial Advisor, Annuity Broker, and Insurance Agent

I am a licensed Retirement Planner (CRPC), insurance agent, financial advisor, annuity broker, and former financial trainer with more than 18 years of hands-on experience in annuities and insurance. My National Producer Number (NPN) is 15524738. I spent 12 years training financial advisors nationwide on annuity, insurance, and retirement planning strategies, in addition to 18 years of direct field experience selling annuities and insurance products, helping clients protect their savings and secure reliable retirement income.

I have been quoted in Time Magazine, Bloomberg, Entrepreneur, Yahoo! Finance, MSN, SmartAsset, LegalZoom, U.S. News & World Report, Women’s Health Magazine, Forbes, and many other leading publications.

I am also the founder of The Annuity Expert, an independent online insurance agency and annuity broker serving consumers across the United States. Through this platform, my team and I help Americans remove the guesswork from retirement planning and compare insurance solutions to find the strongest value at the most competitive rates. I want to see you get the best products at the lowest prices.

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